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CAR WASH · Q1 2026 · 4.5×–7.0× EBITDA band held quarter-over-quarter (n=82, BizBuySell / industry M&A aggregate)CAR WASH · Mister Car Wash → LGP take-private · $7.00/share at 29% premium (Feb 17 2026 announcement)CAR WASH · Driven Brands divests US Car Wash to Whistle Express for $385M · diversified-acquirer retreatCAR WASH · ZIPS Car Wash emerged from Chapter 11 (Apr 2025) · $279M debt reduction; appeals through 2026CAR WASH · Express tunnel format >50% of NA market share (Mordor Intelligence 2026)CAR WASH · ICA Q1 CAR WASH Pulse — saturation, price sensitivity, slowing membership growthCAR WASH · Industry size $18.7B US (IBISWorld 2026) · 5.4% CAGR 2025–2026CAR WASH · Cohort retention 72%–91% across sample · 30–50% higher promotional-rate churnREGULATORY · EPA Proposed 2026 MSGP · PFAS quarterly monitoring + exceedance investigation requirementREGULATORY · California Title 22 reclaim retrofit deadline Jan 1 2027 · 50% reclaim threshold for existing sitesJAPAN · Cross-border discount ~30–40% · 2.5×–4.0× EBITDA band reflects no unlimited-membership recurring layerMETHODOLOGY · Acquidex v1.0 · Sample window 2025-04 → 2026-03 · Trailing 12 months · n=82 SMB transactionsCAR WASH · Q1 2026 · 4.5×–7.0× EBITDA band held quarter-over-quarter (n=82, BizBuySell / industry M&A aggregate)CAR WASH · Mister Car Wash → LGP take-private · $7.00/share at 29% premium (Feb 17 2026 announcement)CAR WASH · Driven Brands divests US Car Wash to Whistle Express for $385M · diversified-acquirer retreatCAR WASH · ZIPS Car Wash emerged from Chapter 11 (Apr 2025) · $279M debt reduction; appeals through 2026CAR WASH · Express tunnel format >50% of NA market share (Mordor Intelligence 2026)CAR WASH · ICA Q1 CAR WASH Pulse — saturation, price sensitivity, slowing membership growthCAR WASH · Industry size $18.7B US (IBISWorld 2026) · 5.4% CAGR 2025–2026CAR WASH · Cohort retention 72%–91% across sample · 30–50% higher promotional-rate churnREGULATORY · EPA Proposed 2026 MSGP · PFAS quarterly monitoring + exceedance investigation requirementREGULATORY · California Title 22 reclaim retrofit deadline Jan 1 2027 · 50% reclaim threshold for existing sitesJAPAN · Cross-border discount ~30–40% · 2.5×–4.0× EBITDA band reflects no unlimited-membership recurring layerMETHODOLOGY · Acquidex v1.0 · Sample window 2025-04 → 2026-03 · Trailing 12 months · n=82 SMB transactions
Scored Listings · Index·Car Wash·Q1 2026·Updated 2026-05-07

Scored car wash listings.

Anonymized observations from real car wash acquisitions evaluated against the four-pillar framework. Each entry reports what was observed and what happened. Neutral evaluation; no recommendations.

See where any listing sits against the framework. Same neutral evaluation each party at the table reads.

3 scored listings

Q1 2026

  1. 01 · Upper band

    Express tunnel, 4,800 active members, Sun Belt market

    Observed: Membership at 62% of total revenue with 24-month cohort retention data showing 3.8% monthly churn. Chemical and utility burden at 10.4% combined. 15-year lease with two 5-year renewals. Equipment averaged 4 years old.

    Outcome: Signed at 6.1× EBITDA. SBA lender confirmed DSCR at 1.31× on normalized earnings. Closed without repricing.

    Composite
  2. 02 · Mid-band

    Flex-serve wash, 2,100 members, mixed retail and membership

    Observed: Membership at 38% of revenue with retail and vacuum revenue comprising the balance. Chemical cost at $0.95 per car. Lease 10 years remaining. Equipment averaged 7 years old with two conveyors due for roller replacement.

    Outcome: Initial ask 6.4× EBITDA. Buyer repriced to 5.1× after normalizing for churn rate, equipment capex reserve, and chemical cost at run-rate rather than trailing trough. Closed at 5.1×.

    Composite
  3. 03 · Lower band

    Self-serve and in-bay automatic, no tag system, lease under 8 years

    Observed: No membership program. Revenue primarily coin and cash with no independent verification system. Equipment 12-year average age. Lease 7 years remaining with no renewal option documented.

    Outcome: Buyer submitted LOI at 4.2× SDE. SBA lender declined to underwrite due to unverifiable revenue and lease shortfall. Deal terminated at underwriting.

    Composite

Listings above are anonymized composites pending the publication of consented case studies. Each scored listing has its own URL — citable, shareable, long-tail-SEO eligible. Composites preserve the structural pattern without identifying the specific deal, seller, or broker.

How to read these

What each scored listing reports.

  • Band placement

    Where in the multiples band the deal sat — upper, mid, or lower third. Tied to the structural conditions in the Atlas.

  • Observed

    The specific structural conditions documented in diligence — the four pillars applied to the specific deal.

  • Outcome

    What happened — closed, repriced, financing fell through, walked. We report. We do not claim the score "told you to" do anything.

Methodology · Acquidex v1.0, §3.4 (Earnings Quality), §3.3 (Transferability), §5.1 (Add-Back Stripping per SBA SOP 50 10 8). Methodology paper forthcoming Q3 2026.

Sources · BizBuySell closed-deal data, IBBA Market Pulse Q3–4 2025 and Q1 2026, Pratt's Stats SMB transaction database, Acquidex direct deal observations.

Refresh · Quarterly. Last update: 2026-05-07.

Author · Avery Hastings, CPA. Tokyo-based; SMB and lower-middle-market acquisitions in the US and Japan.

Scored Car Wash Listings: Anonymized Deal Observations Against the Four-Pillar Framework | Acquidex