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CAR WASH · Q2 2026 · 4.5×–7.0× EBITDA band held quarter-over-quarter (n=82, BizBuySell / industry M&A aggregate)CAR WASH · Mister Car Wash → LGP take-private · $7.00/share at 29% premium (Feb 17 2026 announcement)CAR WASH · Driven Brands divests US Car Wash to Whistle Express for $385M · diversified-acquirer retreatCAR WASH · ZIPS Car Wash emerged from Chapter 11 (Apr 2025) · $279M debt reduction; appeals through 2026CAR WASH · Express tunnel format >50% of NA market share (Mordor Intelligence 2026)CAR WASH · ICA Q1 CAR WASH Pulse — saturation, price sensitivity, slowing membership growthCAR WASH · Industry size $18.7B US (IBISWorld 2026) · 5.4% CAGR 2025–2026CAR WASH · Cohort retention 72%–91% across sample · 30–50% higher promotional-rate churnREGULATORY · EPA Proposed 2026 MSGP · PFAS quarterly monitoring + exceedance investigation requirementREGULATORY · California Title 22 reclaim retrofit deadline Jan 1 2027 · 50% reclaim threshold for existing sitesJAPAN · Cross-border discount ~30–40% · 2.5×–4.0× EBITDA band reflects no unlimited-membership recurring layerMETHODOLOGY · Acquidex v1.0 · Sample window 2025-04 → 2026-03 · Trailing 12 months · n=82 SMB transactionsCAR WASH · Q2 2026 · 4.5×–7.0× EBITDA band held quarter-over-quarter (n=82, BizBuySell / industry M&A aggregate)CAR WASH · Mister Car Wash → LGP take-private · $7.00/share at 29% premium (Feb 17 2026 announcement)CAR WASH · Driven Brands divests US Car Wash to Whistle Express for $385M · diversified-acquirer retreatCAR WASH · ZIPS Car Wash emerged from Chapter 11 (Apr 2025) · $279M debt reduction; appeals through 2026CAR WASH · Express tunnel format >50% of NA market share (Mordor Intelligence 2026)CAR WASH · ICA Q1 CAR WASH Pulse — saturation, price sensitivity, slowing membership growthCAR WASH · Industry size $18.7B US (IBISWorld 2026) · 5.4% CAGR 2025–2026CAR WASH · Cohort retention 72%–91% across sample · 30–50% higher promotional-rate churnREGULATORY · EPA Proposed 2026 MSGP · PFAS quarterly monitoring + exceedance investigation requirementREGULATORY · California Title 22 reclaim retrofit deadline Jan 1 2027 · 50% reclaim threshold for existing sitesJAPAN · Cross-border discount ~30–40% · 2.5×–4.0× EBITDA band reflects no unlimited-membership recurring layerMETHODOLOGY · Acquidex v1.0 · Sample window 2025-04 → 2026-03 · Trailing 12 months · n=82 SMB transactions
Scored Listings · Index·Car Wash·Q2 2026·Updated 2026-07-14

Scored car wash listings.

Anonymized observations from real car wash acquisitions evaluated against the four-pillar framework. Each entry reports what was observed and what happened. Neutral evaluation; no recommendations.

See where any listing sits against the framework. Same neutral evaluation each party at the table reads.

3 scored listings

Q2 2026

  1. 01 · Upper band

    Express tunnel, 4,800 active members, Sun Belt market

    Observed: Membership at 62% of total revenue with 24-month cohort retention data showing 3.8% monthly churn. Chemical and utility burden at 10.4% combined. 15-year lease with two 5-year renewals. Equipment averaged 4 years old.

    Outcome: Signed at 6.1× EBITDA. SBA lender confirmed DSCR at 1.31× on normalized earnings. Closed without repricing.

    Composite →
  2. 02 · Mid-band

    Flex-serve wash, 2,100 members, mixed retail and membership

    Observed: Membership at 38% of revenue with retail and vacuum revenue comprising the balance. Chemical cost at $0.95 per car. Lease 10 years remaining. Equipment averaged 7 years old with two conveyors due for roller replacement.

    Outcome: Initial ask 6.4× EBITDA. Buyer repriced to 5.1× after normalizing for churn rate, equipment capex reserve, and chemical cost at run-rate rather than trailing trough. Closed at 5.1×.

    Composite →
  3. 03 · Lower band

    Self-serve and in-bay automatic, no tag system, lease under 8 years

    Observed: No membership program. Revenue primarily coin and cash with no independent verification system. Equipment 12-year average age. Lease 7 years remaining with no renewal option documented.

    Outcome: Buyer submitted LOI at 4.2× SDE. SBA lender declined to underwrite due to unverifiable revenue and lease shortfall. Deal terminated at underwriting.

    Composite →

Listings above are anonymized composites pending the publication of consented case studies. Each scored listing has its own URL — citable, shareable, long-tail-SEO eligible. Composites preserve the structural pattern without identifying the specific deal, seller, or broker.

How to read these

What each scored listing reports.

  • Band placement

    Where in the multiples band the deal sat — upper, mid, or lower third. Tied to the structural conditions in the Atlas.

  • Observed

    The specific structural conditions documented in diligence — the four pillars applied to the specific deal.

  • Outcome

    What happened — closed, repriced, financing fell through, walked. We report. We do not claim the score "told you to" do anything.

Methodology · Acquidex v1.0, §3.4 (Earnings Quality), §3.3 (Transferability), §5.1 (Add-Back Stripping per SBA SOP 50 10 8). Methodology paper forthcoming Q3 2026.

Sources · BizBuySell closed-deal data, IBBA Market Pulse Q3–4 2025 and Q1 2026, Pratt's Stats SMB transaction database, Acquidex direct deal observations.

Refresh · Quarterly. Last update: 2026-07-14.

Author · Avery Hastings, CPA. Tokyo-based; SMB and lower-middle-market acquisitions in the US and Japan.

Scored Car Wash Listings: Anonymized Deal Observations Against the Four-Pillar Framework | Acquidex