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TREE CARE · Q1 2026 · 1.8×–3.2× SDE band held quarter-over-quarter (n=58, BizBuySell trailing-12-month closed deals)TREE CARE · Storm/emergency revenue presented as steady-state in 58% of deals · 2–4× steady-state in active storm yearTREE CARE · EMR above 1.0 in 23% of deals · NCCI Class 0106/0105 among highest worker-comp ratesTREE CARE · Equipment appraisal at 38% of book value on average · Book overstates operational FMV by 40–70%TREE CARE · ISA Certified Arborist concentrated in owner / one tech in 44% of deals · Municipal contract riskTREE CARE · Industry size $30B (IBISWorld 2024) · 5.8% CAGR 2020–2025 · Climate + invasive species tailwindTREE CARE · BLS 37-3013 median wage $48,250 (May 2024) · Among highest-fatality occupations per BLS CFOITREE CARE · Davey Tree (ESOP, ~$1.7B rev) · Bartlett (family) · SavATree (KKR 2024) · Asplundh (utility) leadTREE CARE · BrightView (KKR) tree-care segment · Cross-trade landscape platforms include tree scopeTREE CARE · USDA APHIS EAB + Spotted Lanternfly programs drive specialty plant health care demandJAPAN · 造園業 / 樹木管理 GC-absorbed structure · 樹木医 + 造園施工管理技士 credentials · 1.5×–2.5× EBITDAMETHODOLOGY · Acquidex v1.0 · Sample window 2025-05 → 2026-04 · Trailing 12 months · n=58 SMB transactionsTREE CARE · Q1 2026 · 1.8×–3.2× SDE band held quarter-over-quarter (n=58, BizBuySell trailing-12-month closed deals)TREE CARE · Storm/emergency revenue presented as steady-state in 58% of deals · 2–4× steady-state in active storm yearTREE CARE · EMR above 1.0 in 23% of deals · NCCI Class 0106/0105 among highest worker-comp ratesTREE CARE · Equipment appraisal at 38% of book value on average · Book overstates operational FMV by 40–70%TREE CARE · ISA Certified Arborist concentrated in owner / one tech in 44% of deals · Municipal contract riskTREE CARE · Industry size $30B (IBISWorld 2024) · 5.8% CAGR 2020–2025 · Climate + invasive species tailwindTREE CARE · BLS 37-3013 median wage $48,250 (May 2024) · Among highest-fatality occupations per BLS CFOITREE CARE · Davey Tree (ESOP, ~$1.7B rev) · Bartlett (family) · SavATree (KKR 2024) · Asplundh (utility) leadTREE CARE · BrightView (KKR) tree-care segment · Cross-trade landscape platforms include tree scopeTREE CARE · USDA APHIS EAB + Spotted Lanternfly programs drive specialty plant health care demandJAPAN · 造園業 / 樹木管理 GC-absorbed structure · 樹木医 + 造園施工管理技士 credentials · 1.5×–2.5× EBITDAMETHODOLOGY · Acquidex v1.0 · Sample window 2025-05 → 2026-04 · Trailing 12 months · n=58 SMB transactions
Scored Listing·Tree Care·Updated 2026-05-02
Upper bandComposite

Tree care business, 3 ISA-certified arborists on staff, commercial contract book, fleet under 5 years

§ 01 · Observed

What was documented in diligence.

ISA certifications: 3 W-2 employees hold ISA Certified Arborist credentials; owner's personal certification is supplementary. Commercial contract list: 28 accounts including 2 municipal utility line-clearing contracts renewable annually; trailing renewal rate 93%. Fleet appraisal: 40-ton crane (3 years), 2 bucket trucks (4 and 5 years), 2 chippers (3 and 4 years) — appraised at 96% of book by equipment appraiser. Storm/emergency revenue normalized to 3-year average: trailing 12-month storm revenue within 6% of 3-year average. Workers comp EMR 0.74 — favorable, reflecting documented safety management system.

§ 02 · Outcome

What happened.

Signed at 2.9× SDE. Lender DSCR 1.26× on normalized earnings. Closed without repricing.

§ 03 · Structural Pattern

How this deal fits the four-pillar framework.

Upper-band placement driven by ISA certification depth independent of owner, commercial contract durability with documented renewal rates, and fleet within the efficient age range. The favorable EMR removed the most common insurance-cost step-up risk in this vertical.

This is an anonymized composite drawn from observable structural patterns in the sample window. It is not a specific deal. The structural pattern, band placement, and outcome reflect commonly observed combinations; a future consented case study will replace this entry.

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Methodology · Acquidex v1.0, §3.4 (Earnings Quality), §3.3 (Transferability), §5.1 (Add-Back Stripping per SBA SOP 50 10 8). Methodology paper forthcoming Q3 2026.

Sources · BizBuySell closed-deal data, IBBA Market Pulse Q3–4 2025 and Q1 2026, Pratt's Stats SMB transaction database, Acquidex direct deal observations.

Author · Avery Hastings, CPA. Tokyo-based; SMB and lower-middle-market acquisitions in the US and Japan.

Tree care business, 3 ISA-certified arborists on staff, commercial contract book, fleet under 5 years — Tree Care Deal Teardown | Acquidex | Acquidex