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POOL SERVICE · Q1 2026 · 2.5×–4.5× SDE band held quarter-over-quarter (n=71, BizBuySell trailing-12-month closed deals)POOL SERVICE · Chemical costs at trough-period rate in 55% of deals · 8–15 point margin compression at run-ratePOOL SERVICE · Route density above 20 stops/day within 10-mile radius is top-of-band signal · Below 14 = structural problemPOOL SERVICE · Sun Belt vs seasonal-market mis-benchmark in 31% of deals · Different attrition and margin frameworksPOOL SERVICE · Sole-operator owner-technician in 49% of deals · #1 Transferability risk + post-close attrition driverPOOL SERVICE · Industry size $13B (IBISWorld 2024) · ~5.2% CAGR 2020–2025 · Sun Belt-dominatedPOOL SERVICE · Trichlor (chlorine tablet) prices showed 30–60% volatility post-2020 BioLab Westlake firePOOL SERVICE · Pool Corp / Pinch A Penny franchise + Authority Brands Pool Scouts lead consolidationPOOL SERVICE · DOE variable-speed pool pump rule (effective July 2021) · Forward equipment-replacement demandPOOL SERVICE · Florida ~1.3M residential pools · Year-round routes · Highest-density US marketJAPAN · Limited residential-pool density · Commercial pool maintenance only · Building-Maintenance-Act mediatedMETHODOLOGY · Acquidex v1.0 · Sample window 2025-05 → 2026-04 · Trailing 12 months · n=71 SMB transactionsPOOL SERVICE · Q1 2026 · 2.5×–4.5× SDE band held quarter-over-quarter (n=71, BizBuySell trailing-12-month closed deals)POOL SERVICE · Chemical costs at trough-period rate in 55% of deals · 8–15 point margin compression at run-ratePOOL SERVICE · Route density above 20 stops/day within 10-mile radius is top-of-band signal · Below 14 = structural problemPOOL SERVICE · Sun Belt vs seasonal-market mis-benchmark in 31% of deals · Different attrition and margin frameworksPOOL SERVICE · Sole-operator owner-technician in 49% of deals · #1 Transferability risk + post-close attrition driverPOOL SERVICE · Industry size $13B (IBISWorld 2024) · ~5.2% CAGR 2020–2025 · Sun Belt-dominatedPOOL SERVICE · Trichlor (chlorine tablet) prices showed 30–60% volatility post-2020 BioLab Westlake firePOOL SERVICE · Pool Corp / Pinch A Penny franchise + Authority Brands Pool Scouts lead consolidationPOOL SERVICE · DOE variable-speed pool pump rule (effective July 2021) · Forward equipment-replacement demandPOOL SERVICE · Florida ~1.3M residential pools · Year-round routes · Highest-density US marketJAPAN · Limited residential-pool density · Commercial pool maintenance only · Building-Maintenance-Act mediatedMETHODOLOGY · Acquidex v1.0 · Sample window 2025-05 → 2026-04 · Trailing 12 months · n=71 SMB transactions
Industry Intelligence · Pool Service · Q1 2026
Updated · 2026-05-02Refresh · QuarterlyAuthor · Avery Hastings, CPA

Pool service business acquisitions sit in a 2.5×–4.5× SDE band. Top-of-band placement is structural — high-density recurring maintenance routes with documented customer tenure and chemical margin control.

Q1 2026 headline read
Quarterly · Updated 2026-05-02
PILLAR 01
Earnings Quality
55%
Q1 2026 baseline

of deals presented chemical costs at a trough-period rate. Chemical at run-rate reduces route margin by 8–15 points in most markets.

PILLAR 02
Pricing
2.5×–4.5×
→ Band held

Band stable. Route density — stops per day within a 10-mile radius — is the clearest top-of-band determinant.

PILLAR 03
Fundability
31%
Q1 2026 baseline

of Sun Belt route deals are mis-benchmarked against seasonal-market comparables. Different attrition patterns and margin structures require separate analysis.

PILLAR 04
Transferability
#1
Q1 2026 baseline

Top transferability risk: owner-technician is the sole route operator with no documented replacement or helper on the route (49% of deals).

This quarter in
Pool Service
Q1 2026 · Jan–Mar

Chemical cost is the most actionable earnings quality adjustment in pool service diligence — and the most commonly under-normalized. Chlorine and chemical prices have shown 30–60% volatility over the trailing 24 months following the August 2020 BioLab Westlake plant fire. When a trailing period captures trough pricing, the presented route margin is materially higher than forward margin will be. Use trailing-6-month chemical invoices normalized to current distributor pricing, not trailing-12 averages, when the two diverge.

Route density is the proxy for operator economics. A route with 22 stops per day within a 10-mile radius has fundamentally different economics than a route with 14 stops covering 35 miles. The time between stops is unproductive labor cost. Map the route before pricing it — satellite-based route optimization analysis is available through most pool software platforms (Skimmer, Pooled, ServiceTitan) and should be a standard diligence deliverable.

Read the full Q1 2026 Atlas →
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The pool service research stack.

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Every Atlas keeps a permanent dated URL. Cited reports never break. Compare bands across quarters; track structural shifts over time.

  1. Q1 2026Chemical Run-Rate, Route Density, and the Sole-Operator RiskRead →
Methodology

Acquidex v1.0, §3.4 (Earnings Quality), §3.3 (Transferability), §5.1 (Add-Back Stripping per SBA SOP 50 10 8). Methodology paper forthcoming Q3 2026.

Sample

Window: 2025-05 → 2026-04 (trailing 12 months). BizBuySell closed-deal data, IBBA Market Pulse Q3–4 2025 and Q1 2026, Pratt's Stats SMB transaction database, Acquidex direct deal observations

Refresh

Quarterly. Last update: 2026-05-02. Atlas archive at /intel/pool-service/atlas.

Author

Avery Hastings, CPA. Tokyo-based; SMB and lower-middle-market acquisitions in the US and Japan.

Acquidex · Industry Intelligence · 2026
AQX-IR-POL-2026Q1 · v1.0
Pool Service Acquisition Intelligence: Multiples Band, Atlas, Playbook, Scored Deals | Acquidex