Roofing contractor acquisitions sit in a 1.8×–3.5× SDE band. Top-of-band placement requires replacement and maintenance revenue dominance — storm-chasing revenue receives a structural discount.
of deals used a storm-event trailing year as the SDE baseline without normalization. Steady-state SDE is typically 40–60% of a storm-year SDE.
Lowest SDE band in the home services segment. Re-roofing and maintenance revenue share above 50% is the primary top-of-band condition.
SBA fall-through cause: DSCR failure after storm-year normalization. Lenders cannot underwrite peak-storm revenue as steady-state.
of deals had unpriced workmanship warranty tail liability. 10-year warranty on a 3-year-old install book is a quantifiable post-close exposure.
Storm normalization is now a categorical SBA requirement, not a negotiable adjustment. A roofing business with $520K SDE in a hail-active trailing year and $210K SDE in a clean trailing year cannot be underwritten on the $520K figure. Lenders are requiring 3-year SDE trends and will discount storm-year outliers to a 5-year weighted average in markets with documented storm event history. If the trailing period is storm-heavy, surface that proactively — lenders will find it in underwriting regardless.
Workmanship warranty tail liability is the most commonly unpriced risk in roofing deals. A contractor who installed $12M of residential roofing over the past 4 years under a 10-year workmanship warranty has a forward contingent liability of $180K–$360K at standard claim rates. This is not theoretical — it is a quantifiable reserve. Require an escrow or price adjustment for warranty tail at close, or document it explicitly as a known assumed liability.
Read the full Q2 2026 Atlas →The roofing research stack.
Atlas for the numbers. Playbook for the framework. Scored Listings for the evidence.
Q2 2026 Industry Atlas
Trailing-12-month band, structural conditions, sources, and methodology. Quarterly. Dated. Citable. Built to be forwarded by lenders.
Underwriting Playbook
The four-pillar lens applied to roofing contractor acquisitions. Structural failure modes. Pre-LOI verification priorities. Master spoke for the vertical.
Scored Listings
Anonymized observations from real roofing deals evaluated against the framework. Updated as deals warrant. Each listing its own citable URL.
Three recent roofing deals.
Roofing contractor, 61% replacement and maintenance revenue, warranty reserve in cost structure
OutcomeSigned at 3.2× SDE. Lender DSCR 1.24× after warranty reserve normalization. Closed without repricing.
Roofing contractor, 44% maintenance, partial storm-year normalization required, warranty tail unquantified
OutcomeInitial ask 3.1× storm-year SDE. After storm normalization, warranty reserve accrual, and supplement revenue restatement, adjusted SDE declined 29%. Repriced to 2.4× adjusted SDE. Crew portability risk priced into $120,000 seller note with 12-month retention milestone.
Storm-chasing roofing contractor, 88% insurance-claim revenue, warranty tail unpriced
OutcomeBuyer submitted LOI at 2.8× storm-year SDE. After storm normalization, warranty reserve, and supplement restatement, adjusted SDE declined 71%. DSCR on normalized SDE was 0.79×. Financing declined. Deal terminated.
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- Q2 20262026 Multiples Band, Structural Conditions, and the Underwriting LensMay 2, 2026Read →
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