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RESTORATION · Q1 2026 · 2.5×–4.5× SDE band held quarter-over-quarter (n=64, BizBuySell trailing-12-month closed deals)RESTORATION · Revenue recognized before insurance settlement in 61% of deals · Cash SDE 20–35% lower than accrualRESTORATION · TPA programs registered in owner personal name in 43% of deals · Non-transferable, 60–180 day re-approvalRESTORATION · Supplement revenue at peak-negotiation levels in 34% of deals · 8–18% normalization on 3-yr avgRESTORATION · IICRC certification gaps (WRT/ASD/AMRT/FSRT) in 41% of deals · TPA approved-vendor riskRESTORATION · Industry size $210B (IBISWorld 2024) · 6.4% CAGR 2020–2025 · Climate-loss tailwind durableRESTORATION · BELFOR (largest non-franchise) + BluSky (Olympus) + ATI Restoration + Servpro 2,200+ franchises leadRESTORATION · Alacrity + Contractor Connection (Crawford) + Code Blue dominant TPA networksRESTORATION · Xactimate (Verisk) is dominant carrier-accepted pricing standardRESTORATION · State Farm / Allstate / Farmers / USAA preferred-vendor panels tightening over trailing 24 monthsJAPAN · 損害保険 direct settlement · No TPA-mediated recurring channel · 2.0×–3.5× EBITDA typicalMETHODOLOGY · Acquidex v1.0 · Sample window 2025-05 → 2026-04 · Trailing 12 months · n=64 SMB transactionsRESTORATION · Q1 2026 · 2.5×–4.5× SDE band held quarter-over-quarter (n=64, BizBuySell trailing-12-month closed deals)RESTORATION · Revenue recognized before insurance settlement in 61% of deals · Cash SDE 20–35% lower than accrualRESTORATION · TPA programs registered in owner personal name in 43% of deals · Non-transferable, 60–180 day re-approvalRESTORATION · Supplement revenue at peak-negotiation levels in 34% of deals · 8–18% normalization on 3-yr avgRESTORATION · IICRC certification gaps (WRT/ASD/AMRT/FSRT) in 41% of deals · TPA approved-vendor riskRESTORATION · Industry size $210B (IBISWorld 2024) · 6.4% CAGR 2020–2025 · Climate-loss tailwind durableRESTORATION · BELFOR (largest non-franchise) + BluSky (Olympus) + ATI Restoration + Servpro 2,200+ franchises leadRESTORATION · Alacrity + Contractor Connection (Crawford) + Code Blue dominant TPA networksRESTORATION · Xactimate (Verisk) is dominant carrier-accepted pricing standardRESTORATION · State Farm / Allstate / Farmers / USAA preferred-vendor panels tightening over trailing 24 monthsJAPAN · 損害保険 direct settlement · No TPA-mediated recurring channel · 2.0×–3.5× EBITDA typicalMETHODOLOGY · Acquidex v1.0 · Sample window 2025-05 → 2026-04 · Trailing 12 months · n=64 SMB transactions
Industry Intelligence · Restoration · Q1 2026
Updated · 2026-05-02Refresh · QuarterlyAuthor · Avery Hastings, CPA

Restoration business acquisitions sit in a 2.5×–4.5× SDE band. Top-of-band placement requires durable insurance TPA relationships, documented billing cycle clarity, and franchise-agreement transferability.

Q1 2026 headline read
Quarterly · Updated 2026-05-02
PILLAR 01
Earnings Quality
61%
Q1 2026 baseline

of deals recognized revenue before insurance settlement, creating AR timing gaps. Cash SDE can be 20–35% lower than accrual SDE in the trailing period.

PILLAR 02
Pricing
2.5×–4.5×
→ Band held

Band stable. TPA program status (Alacrity, Contractor Connection, Code Blue) held by entity vs owner is the top-of-band differentiator.

PILLAR 03
Fundability
#1
Q1 2026 baseline

SBA fall-through cause: AR timing adjustment under lender cash-basis underwriting reduces DSCR below 1.25× in majority of accrual-basis deals.

PILLAR 04
Transferability
43%
Q1 2026 baseline

of deals had TPA program registrations in the owner's personal name, not the entity. Non-transferable — requires re-application after close.

This quarter in
Restoration
Q1 2026 · Jan–Mar

The accrual vs cash DSCR gap is the defining underwriting challenge in restoration deals — and it is not a lender quirk, it is lender policy. SBA underwriters are required to work from cash-basis SDE. A restoration business running $600K accrual SDE may have $420K cash-basis SDE once AR timing is normalized. The gap is not a red flag — it is structural to the business model. The issue is when sellers present the accrual number without the adjustment, and lenders discover the gap at commitment.

TPA program registration in the entity name is non-negotiable for upper-band placement. Alacrity, Contractor Connection, and Code Blue are the three most common TPA programs in the SMB restoration segment. In all three cases, the vendor approval is registered to the company entity, not an individual — but only when the original application was filed that way. If the owner registered as an individual DBA, the approval does not transfer. Verify the registration form before LOI.

Read the full Q1 2026 Atlas →
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  1. Q1 2026Accrual-vs-Cash DSCR Gap, TPA Transferability, and the Supplement-Revenue TrapRead →
Methodology

Acquidex v1.0, §3.4 (Earnings Quality), §3.3 (Transferability), §5.1 (Add-Back Stripping per SBA SOP 50 10 8). Methodology paper forthcoming Q3 2026.

Sample

Window: 2025-05 → 2026-04 (trailing 12 months). BizBuySell closed-deal data, IBBA Market Pulse Q3–4 2025 and Q1 2026, Pratt's Stats SMB transaction database, Acquidex direct deal observations

Refresh

Quarterly. Last update: 2026-05-02. Atlas archive at /intel/restoration/atlas.

Author

Avery Hastings, CPA. Tokyo-based; SMB and lower-middle-market acquisitions in the US and Japan.

Acquidex · Industry Intelligence · 2026
AQX-IR-RST-2026Q1 · v1.0
Restoration Acquisition Intelligence: Multiples Band, Atlas, Playbook, Scored Deals | Acquidex